Tennis · WTA Philadelphia · 26/08, 17:00
Prediction: Fangran Tian vs Tereza Valentova
Team pages: Fangran Tian · Tereza Valentova
Prediction summary
Winner
Fangran Tian
Tereza Valentova
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Fangran Tian
5-5 (W-L)
Tereza Valentova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fangran Tian 1504 · Tereza Valentova 1538
| Fangran Tian | Tereza Valentova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Tereza Valentova makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Fangran Tian | Tereza Valentova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.6 | 11.6-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fangran Tian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Mayu Crossley W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Savannah Broadus W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Kylie Collins W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Amandine Hesse W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 25/06 | Viola Turini W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Belle Thompson W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Alina Korneeva WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Ariana Arseneault W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Diana Marcinkevica W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Tereza Valentova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Ariana Arseneault WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Mary Stoiana WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Maya Joint WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Priscilla Hon WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Alina Korneeva WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fangran Tian vs Tereza Valentova?
Our model gives 72% to Tereza Valentova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.