Tennis · WTA Philadelphia · 26/08, 17:00
Prediction: Fiona Crawley vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Team pages: Fiona Crawley · Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Fiona Crawley
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Fiona Crawley
3-7 (W-L)
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fiona Crawley 1548 · Ekaterina Ovcharenko 1522
| Fiona Crawley | Ekaterina Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Fiona Crawley makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Ekaterina Ovcharenko makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Fiona Crawley | Ekaterina Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.2 | 10.1-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 6.4 |
| 1st serve % | 56.2% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 54.4% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fiona Crawley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Simona Waltert WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Anastasia Zakharova W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Lizette Cabrera W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Ayana Akli W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 31/07 | Eunhye Lee W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Lexington Reed W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Carolina Gomez W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 23/07 | Yuki Naito W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 22/07 | Himeno Sakatsume W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Alina Korneeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 23/08 | Esha Velaga WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Stephanie Yakoff W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Savannah Broadus W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Tori Kinard W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/07 | Ankita Raina WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Alexandra Vagramov W75 Granby |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 05/07 | Sahaja Yamalapalli WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fiona Crawley vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko?
Our model gives 69% to Fiona Crawley, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.