Tennis · UTR Pro Gold Coast · 26/08, 04:00
Prediction: Casey Hoole vs Alexey Shtengelov
Team pages: Casey Hoole · Alexey Shtengelov
Prediction summary
Winner
Casey Hoole
Alexey Shtengelov
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Casey Hoole
6-4 (W-L)
Alexey Shtengelov
0-10 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Casey Hoole 1604 · Alexey Shtengelov 1366
| Casey Hoole | Alexey Shtengelov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 80% | 20% |
| Market | 95% | 5% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Casey Hoole (rating 1604 vs 1366).
- Casey Hoole is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Alexey Shtengelov makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Casey Hoole | Alexey Shtengelov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 0% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 0% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 0.1-2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-7.5 | 5.7-12.7 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 58% |
| Break % | 55.8% | 21% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Casey Hoole
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Derek Pham UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 23/08 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/08 | Haruto Ishikawa UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Oscar Andrews UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Zane Stevens UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/08 | Alec Gaudin UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Alexey Shtengelov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Clint Charles UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/10 | Remy Bertola M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Lucca C Pignaton UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Tomislav Edward Papac UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Noah Brownrigg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Chase Zhao UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Casey Hoole vs Alexey Shtengelov?
Our model gives 88% to Casey Hoole, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.