Tennis · W35 Barueri · 26/08, 15:00
Prediction: Natalia Sousa Salazar vs Ana Candiotto
Team pages: Natalia Sousa Salazar · Ana Candiotto
Prediction summary
Winner
Natalia Sousa Salazar
Ana Candiotto
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Natalia Sousa Salazar
2-8 (W-L)
Ana Candiotto
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Natalia Sousa Salazar
0–1
Ana Candiotto
(1 last)
- 20 Aug0-2 2-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natalia Sousa Salazar 1467 · Ana Candiotto 1536
| Natalia Sousa Salazar | Ana Candiotto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ana Candiotto (rating 1467 vs 1536).
- Ana Candiotto is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Natalia Sousa Salazar 0–1 Ana Candiotto (1).
Statistics
| Natalia Sousa Salazar | Ana Candiotto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.3-12.2 | 10.3-8.2 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 50.7% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 45% | 58.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
H2H · Natalia Sousa Salazar 0 – 1 Ana Candiotto (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Natalia Sousa Salazar 0–1 Ana Candiotto
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/26 W15 Campos do Jordao | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natalia Sousa Salazar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Ana Candiotto W15 Campos do Jordao |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Maria Fernanda Lopes W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 12/08 | Beatriz Guerra W15 Campos do Jordao |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W35 Chacabuco |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Beatriz Guerra W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Lourdes Ayala W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Joody Elkady W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Lois Newberry W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Lauren Seye W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Chiara Fornasieri W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Ana Candiotto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Luiza Fullana W15 Campos do Jordao |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Natalia Sousa Salazar W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Marina Bulbarella W15 Campos do Jordao |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Daria Egorova W75 Vacaria |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Luciana Moyano W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Maria Carolina Ferreira Turchetto W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez W15 Rio Claro |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Valentina Mediorreal Arias W15 Rio Claro |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natalia Sousa Salazar vs Ana Candiotto?
Our model gives 76% to Ana Candiotto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.