Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 26/08, 11:00
Prediction: Alec Deckers vs Luca Potenza
Team pages: Alec Deckers · Luca Potenza
Prediction summary
Winner
Alec Deckers
Luca Potenza
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alec Deckers
7-3 (W-L)
Luca Potenza
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alec Deckers 1575 · Luca Potenza 1500
| Alec Deckers | Luca Potenza | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alec Deckers (rating 1575 vs 1500).
- Alec Deckers dominates on serve: 12.8 aces and 41.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Alec Deckers | Luca Potenza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-11.8 | 11.9-11.6 |
| Aces | 12.8 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 82.2% | 70% |
| Break % | 41.5% | 35.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alec Deckers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Alexis Gautier Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/08 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Patrick Brady Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Ali Habib Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/08 | Conor Gannon Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 11/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/08 | Egor Agafonov Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/08 | Danial Rakhmatullayev Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Kerem Yilmaz Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 02/08 | Samim Filiz Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Luca Potenza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Aryan Shah M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Samuel Heredia M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Pietro Orlando Fellin Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 28/06 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Elmer Moller Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Matei Varbanciu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alec Deckers vs Luca Potenza?
Our model gives 59% to Alec Deckers, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.