Tennis · M15 Bucharest · 25/08, 08:30
Prediction: Matteo Vavassori vs Luc Wieland
Team pages: Luc Wieland
Prediction summary
Winner
Matteo Vavassori
Luc Wieland
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Vavassori
2-8 (W-L)
Luc Wieland
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Vavassori 1471 · Luc Wieland 1526
| Matteo Vavassori | Luc Wieland | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luc Wieland (rating 1471 vs 1526).
- Luc Wieland is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Matteo Vavassori | Luc Wieland | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.4 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.7-10.8 | 11.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 42.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Vavassori
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Giacomo Crisostomo M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 14/06 | Oren Ezerzer M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/05 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Matteo Mura M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/03 | Edoardo Zanada M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/02 | Alessandro Spadola M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-1 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/01 | Bautista Vilicich M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Niels McDonald M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Gabriele Bosio ITF M15 Forli · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Luc Wieland
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Theodore Dean M15 Mistelbach |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 19/08 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/08 | Kabeer Kapasi M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Noah Karma M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Michael Minasyan M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-7 | W |
| 14/03 | Lucca Liu UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/03 | Matteo Huarte UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/03 | Daniel Jankoski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/03 | Jacob Brumm UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Vavassori vs Luc Wieland?
Our model gives 50% to Matteo Vavassori, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.