Tennis · M15 Bucharest · 25/08, 08:30
Prediction: Daniele Minighini vs Hugo Maurice
Team pages: Daniele Minighini
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniele Minighini
Hugo Maurice
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Daniele Minighini
4-6 (W-L)
Hugo Maurice
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniele Minighini 1488 · Hugo Maurice 1419
| Daniele Minighini | Hugo Maurice | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniele Minighini (rating 1488 vs 1419).
- Daniele Minighini is in better form: 40% recent wins.
Statistics
| Daniele Minighini | Hugo Maurice | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.3 | 0.3-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.3-9.4 | 6.2-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 54.1% |
| Break % | 36.8% | 36.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniele Minighini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Richard Antoni M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Mikolaj Borkowski M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Michele Mecarelli M25 Fano |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Gian Marco Ortenzi M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Andrea Zanini M25 Grado · ~Clay |
1-1 | 7-6 | W |
| 19/05 | Mihai Alexandru Coman M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Tommaso Compagnucci M15 Porec · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-8 | L |
| 30/01 | Gianluca Cadenasso M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Hugo Maurice
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Damien Clerc M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Daniel Verbeek M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Henri Maxy M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/02 | Anton Shepp M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 10/02 | Liam Branger M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/01 | Julien Dando M15 Bagnoles de l'Orne · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/01 | Goncalo Marques M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Michele Mecarelli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Matt Ponchet ITF M25 Plaisir · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniele Minighini vs Hugo Maurice?
Our model gives 67% to Daniele Minighini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.