Tennis · W15 Monastir · 26/08, 10:30
Prediction: Sana Garakani vs Aurora Nosei
Team pages: Sana Garakani
Prediction summary
Winner
Sana Garakani
Aurora Nosei
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sana Garakani
2-8 (W-L)
Aurora Nosei
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sana Garakani 1413 · Aurora Nosei 1488
| Sana Garakani | Aurora Nosei | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aurora Nosei (rating 1413 vs 1488).
- Aurora Nosei is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Sana Garakani makes many double faults (10/match).
Statistics
| Sana Garakani | Aurora Nosei | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.2-11.3 | 9.7-8.9 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 10 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 56.6% |
| Break % | 29% | 67.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sana Garakani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Denise Valente W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Severine Deppner W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Carolina Correia W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Valentina Ryser WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Meriem Ben Ezzedine Meriem W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Isabella De Micco Padula W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-10 | L |
| 28/05 | Mariia Lazarenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Meriem Ben Ezzedine Meriem W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/05 | Vanja Gudelj UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Aurora Nosei
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Darina Matvejeva W15 Cluj Napoca |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Sofia Rocchetti W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Andreea Diana Soare W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/05 | Eleonora Alvisi W15 Grado · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Barbara Dessolis W15 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/05 | Zoe Kaegi W15 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/05 | Daria Yesypchuk W15 Kalmar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Alexandra Biot W15 Kalmar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 05/05 | Nuppu Palm W15 Kalmar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sana Garakani vs Aurora Nosei?
Our model gives 74% to Aurora Nosei, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.