Tennis · UTR Pro Boise · 26/08, 18:10

Prediction: Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero vs Arsene Pougault

Team pages: Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero · Arsene Pougault

Prediction summary
Winner
56% 44%
Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero Arsene Pougault
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWWLLW
Arsene Pougault 6-4 (W-L)
LLLWWWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero 1558 · Arsene Pougault 1521
Izan Orgiles Garcia RetameroArsene Pougault
Our model55%45%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Izan Orgiles Garcia RetameroArsene Pougault
Win %70%50%
Win % · Hard 71% (7) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.81.1-1.3
Games (G-P)10.4-9.210-11.3
Aces11.5
Double faults3.43
1st serve %65.9%58%
Break %50%28.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Axel Huysmans
UTR Pro Boise · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
24/08 Michael Seversen
UTR Pro Boise · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
29/07 Eric Vanshelboim
M15 Xativa
0-2 7-12 L
28/07 Daniele Minighini
M15 Xativa
2-0 14-11 W
14/07 Adrien Burdet
M25 Gandia
2-0 12-6 W
23/06 Edward Winter
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
22/06 Bryan Hernandez Cortes
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
2-1 7-10 W
21/06 Ramon Del Olmo Diaz
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
10/06 Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
M25 Martos · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
09/06 Rafael Segado Esteve
M25 Martos · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Arsene Pougault

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/08 Henry Ren
UTR Pro Boise · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
12/07 Matei Gavrea
UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
11/07 Mak Mikovic
UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay
2-0 13-5 W
10/07 Veljko Krstic
UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay
1-2 13-16 L
09/07 Nathan Mansfield
UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
08/07 Cyrus Mahjoob
UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard
2-1 15-14 W
07/07 Samuel Rovai
UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
06/01 Pierre Yves Bailly
M25 Hazebrouck
0-2 2-12 L
08/11 Joaquin Benoit
UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
07/11 Jerry Roddick
UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard
0-2 1-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero vs Arsene Pougault?

Our model gives 56% to Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.