Tennis · M15 Hurghada · 26/08, 09:00
Prediction: Yassine Smiej vs Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
Team pages: Yassine Smiej · Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
Prediction summary
Winner
Yassine Smiej
Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Yassine Smiej
3-7 (W-L)
Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yassine Smiej 1437 · Alvin Nicholas Tudorica 1595
| Yassine Smiej | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 71% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alvin Nicholas Tudorica (rating 1437 vs 1595).
- Alvin Nicholas Tudorica is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Yassine Smiej makes many double faults (5.4/match).
- Note: Alvin Nicholas Tudorica makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Yassine Smiej | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-12.2 | 12.9-9.5 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 52.2% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 58.5% | 52.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yassine Smiej
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Kacper Knitter M15 Krakow |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Fares Zakaria M15 Warsaw |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Preston Brown M15 Warsaw |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Tom Zeuch M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Gilberto Ravasio M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Seydina Andre M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Eero Vasa M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 25/06 | Reda Bennani M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Nathan Walters M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Elijah Strode M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Niels Peter Van Noord M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Keshav Chopra M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Rodrigo Alujas M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Marco Alvarez M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Matthew Thomson M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/07 | Mwendwa Mbithi M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/07 | Keshav Chopra M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Rafael De Alba M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/03 | Andrew Fenty M15 Montreal |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yassine Smiej vs Alvin Nicholas Tudorica?
Our model gives 81% to Alvin Nicholas Tudorica, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.