Tennis · WTA Monterrey · 25/08, 23:00
Prediction: Nikola Bartunkova vs Anastasia Potapova
Team pages: Nikola Bartunkova · Anastasia Potapova
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikola Bartunkova
Anastasia Potapova
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Nikola Bartunkova
5-5 (W-L)
Anastasia Potapova
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nikola Bartunkova
0–2
Anastasia Potapova
(2 last)
- 05 May1-2 12-16L
- 20 Apr0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikola Bartunkova 1529 · Anastasia Potapova 1498
| Nikola Bartunkova | Anastasia Potapova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 62% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Nikola Bartunkova 0–2 Anastasia Potapova (2).
- Note: Anastasia Potapova makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Nikola Bartunkova | Anastasia Potapova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11.1 | 10.8-11.9 |
| Aces | 5 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 47% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Nikola Bartunkova 0 – 2 Anastasia Potapova (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nikola Bartunkova 0–2 Anastasia Potapova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/26 WTA Rome | 1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 20/04/22 WTA Istanbul | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikola Bartunkova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Alina Charaeva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/08 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Yue Yuan WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Barbora Krejcikova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Katerina Siniakova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Anastasia Potapova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Diana Shnaider WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Venus Williams WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Suzan Lamens WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 01/06 | Anna Kalinskaya French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 30/05 | Coco Gauff French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/05 | Katie Boulter French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikola Bartunkova vs Anastasia Potapova?
Our model gives 59% to Nikola Bartunkova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.