Tennis · WTA Monterrey · 25/08, 23:00
Prediction: Anhelina Kalinina vs Maya Joint
Team pages: Anhelina Kalinina · Maya Joint
Prediction summary
Winner
Anhelina Kalinina
Maya Joint
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Anhelina Kalinina
5-5 (W-L)
Maya Joint
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anhelina Kalinina 1486 · Maya Joint 1547
| Anhelina Kalinina | Maya Joint | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maya Joint (rating 1486 vs 1547).
- Note: Anhelina Kalinina makes many double faults (5.9/match).
- Note: Maya Joint makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Anhelina Kalinina | Maya Joint | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.6-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11.8 | 12.9-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anhelina Kalinina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Emma Navarro WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 03/08 | Anna Bondar WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Maria Lourdes Carle WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Kamilla Rakhimova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 24/06 | McCartney Kessler WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Daria Snigur WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Maya Joint
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 23/08 | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 06/08 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Ana Grubor WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 30/07 | Kristina Liutova WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/07 | Whitney Osuigwe WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anhelina Kalinina vs Maya Joint?
Our model gives 55% to Maya Joint, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.