Tennis · UTR Pro Gold Coast · 26/08, 04:00
Prediction: Hayden Jones vs Sam Oster
Team pages: Hayden Jones · Sam Oster
Prediction summary
Winner
Hayden Jones
Sam Oster
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Hayden Jones
6-4 (W-L)
Sam Oster
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hayden Jones 1586 · Sam Oster 1449
| Hayden Jones | Sam Oster | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hayden Jones (rating 1586 vs 1449).
- Hayden Jones is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Sam Oster makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Hayden Jones | Sam Oster | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 86% (7) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-7.9 | 10.8-12.6 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 3 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hayden Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Oscar Andrews UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Jacob Cairncross UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/08 | Omar Jasika UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 05/08 | Thomas Nicholas Gadecki UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Brendan Loh UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Marcus Schoeman UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Jeremy Zhang M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 22/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Asher Brownrigg M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Sam Oster
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Oscar Andrews UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 07/08 | Henry Lamchinniah UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Sam Ryan Ziegann UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Cooper Kose UTR Pro Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/02 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/02 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/02 | Arjun Mehrotra UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/12 | Asher Brownrigg UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/12 | Charlie Pade UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hayden Jones vs Sam Oster?
Our model gives 81% to Hayden Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.