Prediction: Zhizhen Zhang vs Rei Sakamoto
Team pages: Zhizhen Zhang · Rei Sakamoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Zhizhen Zhang
Rei Sakamoto
Estimated games
23.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Zhizhen Zhang
6-4 (W-L)
Rei Sakamoto
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Zhizhen Zhang
1–0
Rei Sakamoto
(1 last)
- 14 Feb2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zhizhen Zhang 1505 · Rei Sakamoto 1528
| Zhizhen Zhang | Rei Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Zhizhen Zhang 1–0 Rei Sakamoto (1).
Statistics
| Zhizhen Zhang | Rei Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-11.9 | 13.5-12.1 |
| Aces | 11.1 | 8.2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 78.8% | 75% |
| Break % | 34.6% | 35.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.1
Over 22.5: 57% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 43% · 1.90
H2H · Zhizhen Zhang 1 – 0 Rei Sakamoto (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zhizhen Zhang 1–0 Rei Sakamoto
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Challenger Brisbane | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zhizhen Zhang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 22/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Justin Boulais Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Henry Searle Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Roman Safiullin Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Jaime Faria Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 14/06 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Mark Ceban Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Rei Sakamoto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 07/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Timo Legout Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Jules Leroux Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zhizhen Zhang vs Rei Sakamoto?
Our model gives 51% to Rei Sakamoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.