Tennis · WTA Philadelphia · 24/08, 21:20
Prediction: Ekaterina Ovcharenko vs Kaitlin Quevedo
Team pages: Ekaterina Ovcharenko · Kaitlin Quevedo
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Kaitlin Quevedo
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
5-5 (W-L)
Kaitlin Quevedo
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
0–1
Kaitlin Quevedo
(1 last)
- 02 Aug0-2 5-11L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Ovcharenko 1495 · Kaitlin Quevedo 1555
| Ekaterina Ovcharenko | Kaitlin Quevedo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kaitlin Quevedo (rating 1495 vs 1555).
- Head-to-head: Ekaterina Ovcharenko 0–1 Kaitlin Quevedo (1).
- Note: Ekaterina Ovcharenko makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Ovcharenko | Kaitlin Quevedo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-10.6 | 11.7-10.5 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 2 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Ekaterina Ovcharenko 0 – 1 Kaitlin Quevedo (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ekaterina Ovcharenko 0–1 Kaitlin Quevedo
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/25 ITF W100 Gran Canaria | 0-2 | 5-11 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Esha Velaga WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Stephanie Yakoff W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Savannah Broadus W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Tori Kinard W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/07 | Ankita Raina WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Alexandra Vagramov W75 Granby |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 05/07 | Sahaja Yamalapalli WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Maya Iyengar W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Kaitlin Quevedo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Laura Samsonova WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Carole Monnet WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Irina Fetecau WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Simona Waltert WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Ovcharenko vs Kaitlin Quevedo?
Our model gives 74% to Kaitlin Quevedo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.