Tennis · WTA Philadelphia · 25/08, 17:00
Prediction: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Volynets
Team pages: Mia Pohankova · Katie Volynets
Prediction summary
Winner
Mia Pohankova
Katie Volynets
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Mia Pohankova
4-6 (W-L)
Katie Volynets
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mia Pohankova 1465 · Katie Volynets 1581
| Mia Pohankova | Katie Volynets | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katie Volynets (rating 1465 vs 1581).
- Katie Volynets is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mia Pohankova | Katie Volynets | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 40% (5) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-11.6 | 12.7-10.2 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 60.6% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mia Pohankova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Mia Ristic WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Harmony Tan Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/06 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Magda Linette WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Clara Tauson WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/05 | Noma Noha Akugue W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Katie Volynets
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Hong Yi Cody Wong WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/08 | Katie Boulter WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Iryna Shymanovich WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 12/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Greet Minnen WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Elizabeth Mandlik WTA Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Kylie Collins WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Ariana Arseneault WTA Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mia Pohankova vs Katie Volynets?
Our model gives 72% to Katie Volynets, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.