Prediction: Lukas Neumayer vs Oliver Crawford
Team pages: Lukas Neumayer · Oliver Crawford
Prediction summary
Winner
Lukas Neumayer
Oliver Crawford
Estimated games
22.6Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lukas Neumayer
4-6 (W-L)
Oliver Crawford
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lukas Neumayer
1–0
Oliver Crawford
(1 last)
- 04 Sept2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lukas Neumayer 1499 · Oliver Crawford 1565
| Lukas Neumayer | Oliver Crawford | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oliver Crawford (rating 1499 vs 1565).
- Head-to-head: Lukas Neumayer 1–0 Oliver Crawford (1).
Statistics
| Lukas Neumayer | Oliver Crawford | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.7 | 13-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 38.6% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -0.9
Over 23.5: 44% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 56% · 1.83
H2H · Lukas Neumayer 1 – 0 Oliver Crawford (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lukas Neumayer 1–0 Oliver Crawford
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/24 Challenger Tulln | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lukas Neumayer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Alexander Weis Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Marko Topo ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/07 | Mili Poljicak ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Oliver Crawford
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/07 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 15/07 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 14/07 | Pablo Perez Navarro Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Yanki Erel M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Dan Added M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Robin Bertrand M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lukas Neumayer vs Oliver Crawford?
Our model gives 56% to Oliver Crawford, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.