Tennis · WTA Philadelphia · 24/08, 20:00
Prediction: Ariana Arseneault vs Tereza Valentova
Team pages: Ariana Arseneault · Tereza Valentova
Prediction summary
Winner
Ariana Arseneault
Tereza Valentova
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ariana Arseneault
8-2 (W-L)
Tereza Valentova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ariana Arseneault 1521 · Tereza Valentova 1524
| Ariana Arseneault | Tereza Valentova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Tereza Valentova makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Ariana Arseneault | Tereza Valentova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.5 | 11.5-10 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 65% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ariana Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Alexandra Osborne WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Annabelle Xu WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/07 | Teah Chavez W35 Saskatoon |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 25/07 | Lizette Cabrera W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Alyssa Ahn W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Annabelle Xu W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Clemence Mercier W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Elizabeth Mandlik W75 Granby |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
Tereza Valentova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Mary Stoiana WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Maya Joint WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Priscilla Hon WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Alina Korneeva WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ariana Arseneault vs Tereza Valentova?
Our model gives 73% to Tereza Valentova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.