Prediction: Soonwoo Kwon vs Dusan Lajovic
Team pages: Soonwoo Kwon · Dusan Lajovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Soonwoo Kwon
Dusan Lajovic
Estimated games
25Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Soonwoo Kwon
7-3 (W-L)
Dusan Lajovic
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Soonwoo Kwon
2–0
Dusan Lajovic
(2 last)
- 23 Sept2-0 13-9W
- 26 Feb2-0 13-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Soonwoo Kwon 1565 · Dusan Lajovic 1514
| Soonwoo Kwon | Dusan Lajovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Soonwoo Kwon (rating 1565 vs 1514).
- Soonwoo Kwon dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 41.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Soonwoo Kwon 2–0 Dusan Lajovic (2).
- Note: Soonwoo Kwon makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Soonwoo Kwon | Dusan Lajovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.9 | 1.4-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-11.5 | 13.7-14.7 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 6 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 77.1% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.5
Over 22.5: 67% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 33% · 1.83
H2H · Soonwoo Kwon 2 – 0 Dusan Lajovic (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Soonwoo Kwon 2–0 Dusan Lajovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/21 ATP Nur-Sultan | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/02/20 ATP Acapulco | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Soonwoo Kwon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/08 | Keegan Smith Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 03/08 | Aidan Kim Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Gavin Young Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/07 | Edward Winter ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Dusan Lajovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Taro Daniel Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/08 | Alexander Rozin Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 08/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 07/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 05/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 04/08 | James McCabe Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 13/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Taylor Fritz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Soonwoo Kwon vs Dusan Lajovic?
Our model gives 61% to Soonwoo Kwon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.