Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 24/08, 13:30

Prediction: Patrick Brady vs Andreja Petrovic

Team pages: Patrick Brady · Andreja Petrovic

Prediction summary
Winner
68% 32%
Patrick Brady Andreja Petrovic
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Patrick Brady 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWLWWWLW
Andreja Petrovic 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLLWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Patrick Brady 1555 · Andreja Petrovic 1480
Patrick BradyAndreja Petrovic
Our model61%39%
Market73%27%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Patrick Brady (rating 1555 vs 1480).
  • Patrick Brady is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Patrick BradyAndreja Petrovic
Win %70%40%
Win % · Hard 80% (5) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.61-1.3
Games (G-P)11.5-8.89.9-10.4
Aces3.41.5
Double faults1.22.9
1st serve %73.6%67.1%
Break %49.9%51.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Patrick Brady

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/08 Alafia Ayeni
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
19/08 Lui Maxted
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
1-2 15-17 L
18/08 Alec Deckers
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
17/08 Alafia Ayeni
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
16/08 Jesse Delaney
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
31/07 Emile Hudd
M25 Aldershot
0-2 10-13 L
30/07 Toby Martin
M25 Aldershot
2-0 13-10 W
29/07 Alexis Canter
M25 Aldershot
2-0 12-5 W
08/07 Alastair Gray
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 2-12 L
07/07 Herman Hoeyeraal
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 13-8 W

Andreja Petrovic

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/08 John Echeverria
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
19/08 Alessandro Battiston
M15 Bastad · ~Clay
0-2 5-11 L
31/07 Johannus Monday
M25 Edwardsville
0-2 7-12 L
30/07 Manel Lazaro Juncadella
M25 Edwardsville
2-0 12-1 W
29/07 Kyle Mcnally
M25 Edwardsville
2-0 13-7 W
22/07 Jelani Sarr
M25 Champaign
0-2 6-13 L
12/07 Hiroki Moriya
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
1-2 11-17 L
09/07 Trevor Svajda
M25 Dallas
1-2 11-14 L
08/07 Dakotah Bobo
M25 Dallas
2-0 12-4 W
10/06 Andrea Fiorentini
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Patrick Brady vs Andreja Petrovic?

Our model gives 68% to Patrick Brady, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.