Tennis · M25 Oviedo · 24/08, 14:30
Prediction: Yanaki Milev vs Carlos Lopez Montagud
Team pages: Yanaki Milev · Carlos Lopez Montagud
Prediction summary
Winner
Yanaki Milev
Carlos Lopez Montagud
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Yanaki Milev
4-6 (W-L)
Carlos Lopez Montagud
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yanaki Milev
0–1
Carlos Lopez Montagud
(1 last)
- 20 Jun1-2 14-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yanaki Milev 1487 · Carlos Lopez Montagud 1568
| Yanaki Milev | Carlos Lopez Montagud | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlos Lopez Montagud (rating 1487 vs 1568).
- Carlos Lopez Montagud is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Yanaki Milev 0–1 Carlos Lopez Montagud (1).
- Note: Yanaki Milev makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Yanaki Milev | Carlos Lopez Montagud | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-10.9 | 11.6-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 67% |
| Break % | 37.1% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Yanaki Milev 0 – 1 Carlos Lopez Montagud (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yanaki Milev 0–1 Carlos Lopez Montagud
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/24 ITF M25 Cattolica | 1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yanaki Milev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Santander |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 03/07 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Valentino Conte M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Francisco Tomas Geschwind M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/06 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Dylan Dietrich M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Carlos Lopez Montagud
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Santander |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 19/08 | Sergio Planella Hernandez M25 Santander |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/08 | Pavel Lagutin M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Carles Hernandez M15 Xativa |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 31/07 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Xativa |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Denia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Hernan Casanova M25 Denia |
1-0 | 7-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yanaki Milev vs Carlos Lopez Montagud?
Our model gives 62% to Carlos Lopez Montagud, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.