Tennis · Challenger Kingston · 23/08, 20:00
Prediction: Evan Zhu vs Arthur Reymond
Team pages: Evan Zhu
Prediction summary
Winner
Evan Zhu
Arthur Reymond
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Evan Zhu
7-3 (W-L)
Arthur Reymond
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Evan Zhu 1545 · Arthur Reymond 1424
| Evan Zhu | Arthur Reymond | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Evan Zhu (rating 1545 vs 1424).
- Evan Zhu is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Evan Zhu | Arthur Reymond | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-8.2 | 9.5-12.2 |
| Aces | 4 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Tauheed Browning Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Timo Legout M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Maximus Dussault M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 11-1 | W |
| 07/08 | Patrick Maloney M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Cooper Woestendick M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Joshua Peck M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Christian Langmo Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Arthur Reymond
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Max Wiskandt Challenger Morelia · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/02 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger St Brieuc · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 05/01 | Eero Vasa Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/01 | Ramkumar Ramanathan Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/10 | Arthur Fery Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Cleeve Harper Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/10 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Alexey Vatutin Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Evan Zhu vs Arthur Reymond?
Our model gives 74% to Evan Zhu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.