Tennis · WTA Philadelphia · 23/08, 16:00
Prediction: Ariana Arseneault vs Alexandra Osborne
Team pages: Ariana Arseneault
Prediction summary
Winner
Ariana Arseneault
Alexandra Osborne
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ariana Arseneault
8-2 (W-L)
Alexandra Osborne
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ariana Arseneault 1511 · Alexandra Osborne 1466
| Ariana Arseneault | Alexandra Osborne | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ariana Arseneault (rating 1511 vs 1466).
Statistics
| Ariana Arseneault | Alexandra Osborne | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.2 | 10.1-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ariana Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Annabelle Xu WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/07 | Teah Chavez W35 Saskatoon |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 25/07 | Lizette Cabrera W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Alyssa Ahn W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Annabelle Xu W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Clemence Mercier W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Elizabeth Mandlik W75 Granby |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Emma Dong W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Alexandra Osborne
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05 | Eri Shimizu W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Gabriella Da Silva Fick W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Kyoka Okamura W100 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/02 | Jenna Defalco W75 Brisbane |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 08/02 | Gurmanat Kaur Sandhu W75 Brisbane Qual |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/02 | Ruien Zhang W75 Brisbane |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/02 | Stephanie Guse-Abbott W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/11 | Katarina Zavatska ITF W75 Playford · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 24/11 | Laquisa Khan ITF W75 Playford · Hard |
1-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/11 | Rianna Alame ITF W75 Playford · Hard |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ariana Arseneault vs Alexandra Osborne?
Our model gives 67% to Ariana Arseneault, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.