Tennis · WTA Philadelphia · 23/08, 18:00
Prediction: Anna Frey vs Ashlyn Krueger
Team pages: Anna Frey · Ashlyn Krueger
Prediction summary
Winner
Anna Frey
Ashlyn Krueger
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Anna Frey
6-4 (W-L)
Ashlyn Krueger
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anna Frey 1473 · Ashlyn Krueger 1566
| Anna Frey | Ashlyn Krueger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ashlyn Krueger (rating 1473 vs 1566).
- Ashlyn Krueger is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Anna Frey makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Ashlyn Krueger makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Anna Frey | Ashlyn Krueger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.8 | 12.5-9.3 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 55.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anna Frey
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Aran Teixido Garcia WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Jia-Jing Lu W35 Saskatoon |
1-2 | 8-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Alana Smith W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Capucine Jauffret W35 Rome |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/02 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Midland · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/02 | Kayla Day WTA Midland · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/02 | Elizabeth Mandlik WTA Midland · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/12 | Dalayna Hewitt UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 12/12 | Julie Adele Bedard UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/12 | Havana Kadi UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Ashlyn Krueger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Lois Boisson WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Katie Boulter WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Daria Snigur Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Mariam Bolkvadze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/06 | Donna Vekic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 25/06 | Polina Iatcenko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Mai Hontama Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Gabriela Knutson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Celine Naef WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anna Frey vs Ashlyn Krueger?
Our model gives 79% to Ashlyn Krueger, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.