Tennis · WTA Philadelphia · 24/08, 16:00

Prediction: Simona Waltert vs Fiona Crawley

Team pages: Simona Waltert · Fiona Crawley

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Simona Waltert Fiona Crawley
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Simona Waltert 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWWLLWLL
Fiona Crawley 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLLLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Simona Waltert 1505 · Fiona Crawley 1522
Simona WaltertFiona Crawley
Our model48%52%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Simona Waltert makes many double faults (4.9/match).
  • Note: Fiona Crawley makes many double faults (4.5/match).

Statistics

Simona WaltertFiona Crawley
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.11.3-1.2
Games (G-P)10.6-9.812.2-11.8
Aces2.51.3
Double faults4.94.5
1st serve %63.6%57.9%
Break %50.4%52.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Simona Waltert

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/08 Jessica Pegula
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
13/08 Petra Marcinko
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 17-13 W
22/07 Mayar Sherif
WTA Hamburg · Clay
1-2 17-18 L
14/07 Katarzyna Kawa
WTA Iasi · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
11/07 Paula Badosa
WTA Bastad · Clay
0-2 10-14 L
10/07 Kaitlin Quevedo
WTA Bastad · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
09/07 Leyre Romero Gormaz
WTA Bastad · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
08/07 Aneta Laboutkova
WTA Bastad · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
06/07 Katarzyna Kawa
WTA Bastad · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
30/06 Maria Camila Osorio
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 3-12 L

Fiona Crawley

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/08 Anastasia Zakharova
W100 Landisville
0-2 8-12 L
05/08 Lizette Cabrera
W100 Landisville
2-0 13-7 W
01/08 Ayana Akli
W75 Lexington
0-2 6-11 L
31/07 Eunhye Lee
W75 Lexington
2-0 13-9 W
30/07 Lexington Reed
W75 Lexington
2-1 19-15 W
30/07 Carolina Gomez
W75 Lexington
2-1 16-11 W
23/07 Yuki Naito
W100 Evansville
1-2 12-18 L
22/07 Himeno Sakatsume
W100 Evansville
2-1 17-9 W
25/06 Alina Korneeva
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 2-12 L
24/06 Julia Riera
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 16-14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Simona Waltert vs Fiona Crawley?

Our model gives 57% to Simona Waltert, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.