Tennis · WTA Philadelphia · 23/08, 19:30
Prediction: Mia Pohankova vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Team pages: Mia Pohankova · Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Prediction summary
Winner
Mia Pohankova
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mia Pohankova
3-7 (W-L)
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mia Pohankova 1457 · Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 1521
| Mia Pohankova | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez (rating 1457 vs 1521).
- Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mia Pohankova | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 40% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-12.6 | 12.5-11.5 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 57.3% |
| Break % | 35.1% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mia Pohankova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Mia Ristic WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Harmony Tan Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/06 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Magda Linette WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Clara Tauson WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/05 | Noma Noha Akugue W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/05 | Francesca Jones W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Fernanda Labrana W75 Vacaria |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 19/07 | Oceane Babel W35 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Francesca Mattioli W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Isabella Barrera Aguirre W35 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Luciana Perry W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Theadora Rabman W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Maya Iyengar W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Hiroko Kuwata W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mia Pohankova vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez?
Our model gives 66% to Mia Pohankova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.