Tennis · WTA Philadelphia · 24/08, 16:00

Prediction: Talia Gibson vs Lizette Cabrera

Team pages: Talia Gibson · Lizette Cabrera

Prediction summary
Winner
70% 30%
Talia Gibson Lizette Cabrera
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Talia Gibson 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLLLWWLL
Lizette Cabrera 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWWWLLWL
Head-to-head
Talia Gibson 2–2 Lizette Cabrera (4 last)
  • 29 Nov0-2 6-13L
  • 06 Oct2-0 13-8W
  • 14 Sept2-0 12-4W
  • 09 Feb1-2 12-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Talia Gibson 1481 · Lizette Cabrera 1490
Talia GibsonLizette Cabrera
Our model49%51%
Market87%13%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Talia Gibson makes many double faults (6.7/match).
  • Note: Lizette Cabrera makes many double faults (5.9/match).

Statistics

Talia GibsonLizette Cabrera
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 40% (5) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1-1.41.2-1.2
Games (G-P)10.9-12.510.8-10.8
Aces4.82
Double faults6.75.9
1st serve %65.5%61.2%
Break %47%53.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

H2H · Talia Gibson 22 Lizette Cabrera (4)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Talia Gibson 22 Lizette Cabrera

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DateSetsGamesRes.
29/11/24
ITF W75 Carrara
0-26-13L
06/10/24
ITF W35 Cairns
2-013-8W
14/09/24
ITF W75 Perth
2-012-4W
09/02/23
ITF W25 Burnie
1-212-17L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Talia Gibson

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/08 Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
14/08 Lilli Tagger
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 17-12 W
06/08 Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Toronto · Hard
1-2 11-17 L
04/08 Maja Chwalinska
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
28/07 Tatjana Maria
WTA Memphis · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
30/06 Marie Bouzkova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 9-15 L
23/06 Madison Keys
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
0-2 8-12 L
19/06 Karolina Pliskova
WTA Nottingham · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
17/06 Qinwen Zheng
WTA Nottingham · Grass
2-0 13-9 W
15/06 Francesca Jones
WTA Nottingham · Grass
2-1 18-16 W

Lizette Cabrera

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/08 Fiona Crawley
W100 Landisville
0-2 7-13 L
04/08 Kallista Liu
W100 Landisville
2-1 14-13 W
29/07 Sofia Costoulas
WTA Vancouver · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
25/07 Ariana Arseneault
W35 Saskatoon
0-2 7-12 L
24/07 Emma Dong
W35 Saskatoon
2-0 9-2 W
23/07 Anna Tabunshchyk
W35 Saskatoon
2-0 12-6 W
23/07 Dasha Ivanova
W35 Saskatoon
2-0 13-7 W
15/07 Lea Ma
W75 Granby
1-2 14-16 L
13/07 Dasha Plekhanova
W75 Granby
2-1 16-14 W
19/05 Sohyun Park
W100 Takasaki · ~Hard
1-2 12-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Talia Gibson vs Lizette Cabrera?

Our model gives 70% to Talia Gibson, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.