Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 25/08, 11:00
Prediction: Lui Maxted vs Anton Shepp
Team pages: Lui Maxted · Anton Shepp
Prediction summary
Winner
Lui Maxted
Anton Shepp
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lui Maxted
5-5 (W-L)
Anton Shepp
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lui Maxted
1–0
Anton Shepp
(1 last)
- 09 Oct2-1 15-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lui Maxted 1557 · Anton Shepp 1477
| Lui Maxted | Anton Shepp | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lui Maxted (rating 1557 vs 1477).
- Head-to-head: Lui Maxted 1–0 Anton Shepp (1).
Statistics
| Lui Maxted | Anton Shepp | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-12.4 | 10.1-10.6 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 4 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 43% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Lui Maxted 1 – 0 Anton Shepp (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lui Maxted 1–0 Anton Shepp
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/25 M25 Monastir | 2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lui Maxted
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Patrick Brady Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/08 | Charles Broom M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Mark Ceban M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Marcus Walters M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Rhys Lawlor M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 29/07 | Billy Blaydes M25 Aldershot |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 24/07 | Clement Lemire M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Anton Shepp
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Mark Ceban Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Evan Zhu Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 20/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Alexander Rozin Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Coleman Wong Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Jack Kennedy Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Niels McDonald M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/06 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Oskar Jansson M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 17/05 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lui Maxted vs Anton Shepp?
Our model gives 60% to Lui Maxted, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.