Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 25/08, 11:00
Prediction: Ivan Ivanov vs Ryan Peniston
Team pages: Ivan Ivanov
Prediction summary
Winner
Ivan Ivanov
Ryan Peniston
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Ivanov
5-5 (W-L)
Ryan Peniston
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivan Ivanov 1501 · Ryan Peniston 1448
| Ivan Ivanov | Ryan Peniston | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ivan Ivanov (rating 1501 vs 1448).
Statistics
| Ivan Ivanov | Ryan Peniston | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-10.9 | 9.4-11.4 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 33.9% | 31.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivan Ivanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Elmer Moller Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Gentofte |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Patrik Munkhammar M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Gustav Theilgaard M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 10/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Lui Maxted Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Ryan Peniston
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02 | Max Basing M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 19/02 | Francisco Rocha M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/02 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/02 | Hynek Barton Challenger Tenerife · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/01 | Coleman Wong Challenger Manama · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/01 | Hyeon Chung Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/01 | Roman Andres Burruchaga Australian Open · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/01 | Moerani Bouzige Challenger Noumea · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 08/11 | Sho Shimabukuro Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/11 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivan Ivanov vs Ryan Peniston?
Our model gives 60% to Ivan Ivanov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.