Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 25/08, 11:00
Prediction: Billy Blaydes vs Matteo Martineau
Team pages: Billy Blaydes · Matteo Martineau
Prediction summary
Winner
Billy Blaydes
Matteo Martineau
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Billy Blaydes
7-3 (W-L)
Matteo Martineau
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Billy Blaydes 1531 · Matteo Martineau 1506
| Billy Blaydes | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Billy Blaydes is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Billy Blaydes | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.7 | 10.5-11.8 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 58.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Billy Blaydes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Michael Geerts Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | John Echeverria Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/08 | Alexis Gautier Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/08 | Alex Rybakov M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Anuj Watane M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Emile Hudd M25 Aldershot |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Tiago Cacao M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | William Jansen M25 Aldershot |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 29/07 | Lui Maxted M25 Aldershot |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 27/07 | Freddie Ridout M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
Matteo Martineau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Lui Maxted Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 24/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Billy Blaydes vs Matteo Martineau?
Our model gives 56% to Matteo Martineau, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.