Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 25/08, 11:00
Prediction: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Oliver Tarvet
Team pages: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida · Oliver Tarvet
Prediction summary
Winner
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Oliver Tarvet
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
6-4 (W-L)
Oliver Tarvet
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
0–1
Oliver Tarvet
(1 last)
- 19 Aug1-2 13-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 1570 · Oliver Tarvet 1627
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Oliver Tarvet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oliver Tarvet (rating 1570 vs 1627).
- Oliver Tarvet dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 42.3% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 0–1 Oliver Tarvet (1).
Statistics
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Oliver Tarvet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-10.7 | 13-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 73.6% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 0 – 1 Oliver Tarvet (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 0–1 Oliver Tarvet
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/26 Challenger Roehampton | 1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Peter Makk Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/08 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Florian Broska Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 31/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Johan Nikles Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Oliver Tarvet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/08 | Charles Broom Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 19/08 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 18/08 | John Echeverria Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/08 | Charles Broom M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Anton Matusevich M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/08 | Alex Rybakov M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Toby Martin M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Oliver Tarvet?
Our model gives 71% to Oliver Tarvet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.