Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 23/08, 11:00
Prediction: Alex Rybakov vs Oliver Bonding
Team pages: Alex Rybakov · Oliver Bonding
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Rybakov
Oliver Bonding
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Rybakov
7-3 (W-L)
Oliver Bonding
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Rybakov 1513 · Oliver Bonding 1443
| Alex Rybakov | Oliver Bonding | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Rybakov (rating 1513 vs 1443).
Statistics
| Alex Rybakov | Oliver Bonding | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11 | 10.8-11.9 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 68% |
| Break % | 37.4% | 27.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Rybakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Charles Broom Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Fares Zakaria Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Oliver Tarvet M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Billy Blaydes M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Matthew Summers M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Charlie Robertson M25 Aldershot |
1-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/07 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/06 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Joaquim Almeida M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Oliver Bonding
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | John Echeverria Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Ozan Baris M25 Edwardsville |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 29/07 | Jack Satterfield M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Evan Bynoe M25 Champaign |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Timo Legout M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Arda Azkara Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Federico Coria Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Rybakov vs Oliver Bonding?
Our model gives 58% to Alex Rybakov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.