Tennis · UTR Pro Boise Women · 26/08, 20:00
Prediction: Lyric Bonilla vs Lilian Poling
Team pages: Lyric Bonilla · Lilian Poling
Prediction summary
Winner
Lyric Bonilla
Lilian Poling
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lyric Bonilla
1-9 (W-L)
Lilian Poling
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lyric Bonilla 1409 · Lilian Poling 1505
| Lyric Bonilla | Lilian Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lilian Poling (rating 1409 vs 1505).
- Lilian Poling is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Lyric Bonilla makes many double faults (5.4/match).
- Note: Lilian Poling makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Lyric Bonilla | Lilian Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-12.5 | 10.2-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 51% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 74.4% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lyric Bonilla
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Bella Pitchford UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Allison Isaacs UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Salma Ziouti UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Anna Cherico UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/05 | Amy Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Bella Jacutin-Mariona UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Addy Rogin UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 27/04 | Delilah Rizvi UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 26/04 | Sydney Barnhart UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/04 | Tanvi Pandey UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Lilian Poling
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Allison Isaacs UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 22/08 | Nao Nishino UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 21/08 | Fredrika Runstrom UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/08 | Zoya Chulak UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Audrey Spencer UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Olive Maunupau UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Lexington Reed W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Emma Dong W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Alexandra Vagramov W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lyric Bonilla vs Lilian Poling?
Our model gives 78% to Lilian Poling, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.