Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Roman Safiullin vs Marton Fucsovics
Team pages: Roman Safiullin · Marton Fucsovics
Prediction summary
Winner
Roman Safiullin
Marton Fucsovics
Estimated games
27Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Roman Safiullin
7-3 (W-L)
Marton Fucsovics
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Roman Safiullin 1565 · Marton Fucsovics 1413
| Roman Safiullin | Marton Fucsovics | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roman Safiullin (rating 1565 vs 1413).
- Roman Safiullin is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Marton Fucsovics makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Roman Safiullin | Marton Fucsovics | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2.1-1.1 | 0.7-2 |
| Games (G-P) | 17.5-15.2 | 11.2-15.9 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74.8% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 18.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +4.5
Over 22.5: 79% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 21% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roman Safiullin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Hubert Hurkacz Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Stan Wawrinka Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Novak Djokovic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-22 | L |
| 03/07 | Joao Fonseca Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-21 | W |
| 29/06 | Andrey Rublev Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 28-26 | W |
| 25/06 | Jerome Kym Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 27-28 | W |
| 24/06 | Kimmer Coppejans Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/06 | James McCabe Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Marton Fucsovics
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Corentin Moutet ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 01/07 | Learner Tien Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-20 | W |
| 16/06 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 25/05 | Matteo Berrettini French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 15-25 | L |
| 07/05 | Dino Prizmic ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/04 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roman Safiullin vs Marton Fucsovics?
Our model gives 69% to Roman Safiullin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.