Tennis · ATP Winston-Salem · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Valentin Royer vs Marcos Giron
Team pages: Valentin Royer · Marcos Giron
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentin Royer
Marcos Giron
Estimated games
23.6Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Valentin Royer
3-7 (W-L)
Marcos Giron
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentin Royer 1542 · Marcos Giron 1491
| Valentin Royer | Marcos Giron | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valentin Royer (rating 1542 vs 1491).
Statistics
| Valentin Royer | Marcos Giron | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10.7 | 13.4-13.4 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 51% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 49% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentin Royer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Tyler Zink Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Tommy Paul ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Taro Daniel Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Marcos Giron
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Henrique Rocha ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Cruz Hewitt ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Andre Ilagan ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/07 | Aryan Shah ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 02/07 | Quentin Halys Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Corentin Moutet Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 22/06 | Jack Draper ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentin Royer vs Marcos Giron?
Our model gives 51% to Marcos Giron, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.