Tennis · UTR Pro Boise · 25/08, 21:00
Prediction: Stewart Aronson vs Lucas Hammond
Team pages: Stewart Aronson · Lucas Hammond
Prediction summary
Winner
Stewart Aronson
Lucas Hammond
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Stewart Aronson
7-3 (W-L)
Lucas Hammond
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stewart Aronson 1492 · Lucas Hammond 1380
| Stewart Aronson | Lucas Hammond | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stewart Aronson (rating 1492 vs 1380).
- Stewart Aronson is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Stewart Aronson makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Stewart Aronson | Lucas Hammond | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.4-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.2 | 7.7-11.6 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 6.2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 55.4% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 37.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stewart Aronson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Cade Fernando UTR Pro Boise · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Elias Sumann UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Tygen Goldammer UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 12/08 | Filip Apltauer UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Enzo Aguiard UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/08 | Charles Frey UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/08 | Thomas Kennedy UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Blake Hilsen UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Lucas Hammond
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Felix Romeo M25 Koksijde |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 14/07 | Matthieu Chambonniere M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Lorenzo Balducci M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Marcel Hornung M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Daniel Milavsky M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/02 | Alexander Aney UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/02 | Benjamin Berger UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/02 | Noah Zamora UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 19/02 | Paris Pouatcha UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/02 | Winston Lee UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stewart Aronson vs Lucas Hammond?
Our model gives 70% to Stewart Aronson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.