Tennis · UTR Pro Murfreesboro · 22/08, 18:30

Prediction: Logan Zapp vs Adrian Treacy

Team pages: Logan Zapp · Adrian Treacy

Prediction summary
Winner
64% 36%
Logan Zapp Adrian Treacy
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Logan Zapp 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWLLWWW
Adrian Treacy 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Logan Zapp 1557 · Adrian Treacy 1537
Logan ZappAdrian Treacy
Our model53%47%
Market73%27%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Logan ZappAdrian Treacy
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 71% (7) 67% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.81.2-0.9
Games (G-P)11.8-9.79.7-8.5
Aces1.82.9
Double faults2.82.5
1st serve %67.2%67%
Break %60.4%44.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Logan Zapp

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/08 Aryan Saleh
UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
19/08 Santiago Lora
UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
18/08 Dante Teramo
UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
17/08 Luka Butera
UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
07/08 Clement Chidekh
M25 Southaven
0-2 6-13 L
05/08 Landon Ardila
M25 Southaven
2-1 14-12 W
04/08 Hank Trondson
M25 Southaven
2-0 13-8 W
10/07 Tuncay Duran
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 12-14 L
09/07 Volodymyr Iakubenko
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
08/07 Anas Bennour Dit Sahli
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 17-13 W

Adrian Treacy

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/08 John Patrick Popowich
UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
20/08 Houston Jacques
UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
18/08 Dylan Chou
UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
17/08 Antoine Mayoral
UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
01/08 Drew Fishback
UTR Pro Columbus · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
01/08 Ashton Adesoro
UTR Pro Columbus · Hard
2-1 17-12 W
30/07 Henry Lessard
UTR Pro Columbus · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
29/07 Philip Bosin
UTR Pro Columbus · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
29/07 Preston Stearns
UTR Pro Columbus · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
14/07 Jonah Braswell
M15 Rochester
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Logan Zapp vs Adrian Treacy?

Our model gives 64% to Logan Zapp, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.