Tennis · UTR Pro Boise · 24/08, 22:30

Prediction: Henry Ren vs Arsene Pougault

Team pages: Henry Ren

Prediction summary
Winner
40% 60%
Henry Ren Arsene Pougault
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Henry Ren 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLWLWLWL
Arsene Pougault 6-4 (W-L)
WLLLWWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Henry Ren 1430 · Arsene Pougault 1499
Henry RenArsene Pougault
Our model40%60%
Market39%61%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arsene Pougault (rating 1430 vs 1499).

Statistics

Henry RenArsene Pougault
Win %30%50%
Win % · Hard 14% (7) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.51.1-1.2
Games (G-P)8.7-119.6-10.4
Aces3.80
Double faults2.83.3
1st serve %64.4%52.8%
Break %31.5%27%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Henry Ren

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Rudy Quan
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
0-2 3-12 L
07/07 Lev Seidman
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
2-0 12-5 W
01/07 Liam Krall
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
30/06 Hugo Hashimoto
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
1-2 8-8 L
20/06 Manveer Boparai
UTR Pro Seattle · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
19/06 Jack Davison
UTR Pro Seattle · Hard
2-1 16-15 W
19/06 Charles Frey
UTR Pro Seattle · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
18/06 Graeme Angus
UTR Pro Seattle · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
17/06 Nikola Plavsic
UTR Pro Seattle · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
10/05 Omar Rhazali
UTR Pro Concord · Clay
2-0 13-8 W

Arsene Pougault

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/07 Matei Gavrea
UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
11/07 Mak Mikovic
UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay
2-0 13-5 W
10/07 Veljko Krstic
UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay
1-2 13-16 L
09/07 Nathan Mansfield
UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
08/07 Cyrus Mahjoob
UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay
2-1 15-14 W
07/07 Samuel Rovai
UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay
2-1 15-11 W
06/01 Pierre Yves Bailly
M25 Hazebrouck
0-2 2-12 L
08/11 Joaquin Benoit
UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
07/11 Jerry Roddick
UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
06/11 Eric Padgham
UTR Pro Fayetteville · Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Henry Ren vs Arsene Pougault?

Our model gives 60% to Arsene Pougault, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.