Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 24/08, 21:00
Prediction: Kaia Giribalan vs Kate Fakih
Team pages: Kaia Giribalan · Kate Fakih
Prediction summary
Winner
Kaia Giribalan
Kate Fakih
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Kaia Giribalan
9-1 (W-L)
Kate Fakih
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kaia Giribalan 1573 · Kate Fakih 1516
| Kaia Giribalan | Kate Fakih | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kaia Giribalan (rating 1573 vs 1516).
- Note: Kaia Giribalan makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Kaia Giribalan | Kate Fakih | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-7.6 | 11.5-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 53.9% | 51.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kaia Giribalan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Sue Yan Tan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/08 | Bella Lewis UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/08 | Marley Lambert UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/08 | Tia Messerli UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Sage Bergeson UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Patsy Daughters W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Rachel Gailis W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 03/05 | Tanvi Pandey UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/05 | Delilah Rizvi UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Kate Fakih
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Alyssa Ahn W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Alexis Nguyen W35 Florence |
1-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Hina Inoue W35 Santa Fe |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/07 | Tatum Evans W35 Santa Fe |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Maria Kononova W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 10/07 | Jo Yee Chan W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Sophia Webster W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Annabelle Xu W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Maria Aytoyan W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kaia Giribalan vs Kate Fakih?
Our model gives 59% to Kate Fakih, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.