Tennis · W15 Logrono · 21/08, 10:00
Prediction: Paula Cembranos vs Jenna Defalco
Team pages: Paula Cembranos · Jenna Defalco
Prediction summary
Winner
Paula Cembranos
Jenna Defalco
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Paula Cembranos
6-4 (W-L)
Jenna Defalco
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paula Cembranos 1564 · Jenna Defalco 1506
| Paula Cembranos | Jenna Defalco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paula Cembranos (rating 1564 vs 1506).
- Paula Cembranos is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Paula Cembranos makes many double faults (7.6/match).
- Note: Jenna Defalco makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Paula Cembranos | Jenna Defalco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.6 | 10.4-9 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 7.6 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 57.4% | 59.1% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 49.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paula Cembranos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Zi Ying Ruan W15 Logrono |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 18/08 | Iveta Dapkute W15 Logrono |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 07/08 | Ella Mcdonald W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Lina Glushko W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Mio Mushika W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Mia Wainwright W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Lois Newberry W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Julia Stusek W75 Hechingen |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Chelsea Fontenel W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 27/07 | Julia Stamatova W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Jenna Defalco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Daria Shubina W15 Logrono |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 19/08 | Wozuko Mdlulwa W15 Logrono |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Angelina Voloshchuk W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Dalayna Hewitt W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Anna Rogers W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 20/07 | Mireya David W100 Evansville |
1-0 | 6-0 | W |
| 29/04 | Dayeon Back W35 Goyang · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/04 | Jia-Jing Lu W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 22/04 | Shiho Tsujioka W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paula Cembranos vs Jenna Defalco?
Our model gives 51% to Jenna Defalco, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.