Tennis · W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 21/08, 10:00
Prediction: Darya Astakhova vs Rada Zolotareva
Team pages: Darya Astakhova · Rada Zolotareva
Prediction summary
Winner
Darya Astakhova
Rada Zolotareva
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Darya Astakhova
5-5 (W-L)
Rada Zolotareva
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Darya Astakhova 1530 · Rada Zolotareva 1595
| Darya Astakhova | Rada Zolotareva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rada Zolotareva (rating 1530 vs 1595).
- Rada Zolotareva is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Darya Astakhova | Rada Zolotareva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10 | 11.8-6.2 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 57.4% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Darya Astakhova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 19/08 | Lea Nilsson W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/08 | Luna Vujovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Elena Milovanovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Antonia Rivera W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Berfu Cengiz W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/07 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Dalila Jakupovic W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Rada Zolotareva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Doroteja Petrovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Chloe Paquet W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/08 | Ekaterina Perelygina W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/08 | Sara Cakarevic W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/08 | Matilde Paoletti W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Martha Matoula W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/08 | Dunja Maric W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Sofija Milenkovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 09/06 | Polina Iatcenko W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Darya Astakhova vs Rada Zolotareva?
Our model gives 52% to Rada Zolotareva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.