Tennis · Challenger Cancun · 20/08, 23:30
Prediction: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Team pages: Lloyd Harris · Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Prediction summary
Winner
Lloyd Harris
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lloyd Harris
8-2 (W-L)
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lloyd Harris
1–0
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
(1 last)
- 14 Feb2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lloyd Harris 1640 · Pablo Llamas Ruiz 1463
| Lloyd Harris | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 27% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lloyd Harris (rating 1640 vs 1463).
- Lloyd Harris dominates on serve: 8 aces and 54.1% break avg.
- Lloyd Harris is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Lloyd Harris 1–0 Pablo Llamas Ruiz (1).
Statistics
| Lloyd Harris | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.5 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-9.7 | 12.2-12.9 |
| Aces | 8 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 78.6% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 54.1% | 33.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
H2H · Lloyd Harris 1 – 0 Pablo Llamas Ruiz (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lloyd Harris 1–0 Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Challenger Tenerife | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lloyd Harris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Laslo Djere Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 14/08 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 14/08 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Henry Searle Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Marcos Giron ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Zachary Svajda Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Tristan Boyer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-26 | L |
| 24/06 | Pol Martin Tiffon Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Dan Added Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz?
Our model gives 70% to Lloyd Harris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.