Tennis · Challenger Quebec City · 20/08, 20:30
Prediction: Benjamin Bonzi vs Soonwoo Kwon
Team pages: Benjamin Bonzi · Soonwoo Kwon
Prediction summary
Winner
Benjamin Bonzi
Soonwoo Kwon
Estimated games
24.2
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Bonzi
7-3 (W-L)
Soonwoo Kwon
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin Bonzi 1528 · Soonwoo Kwon 1556
| Benjamin Bonzi | Soonwoo Kwon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Soonwoo Kwon dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 41.2% break avg.
- Note: Soonwoo Kwon makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Benjamin Bonzi | Soonwoo Kwon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-12 | 14.3-11.5 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 77.1% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 41.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin Bonzi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Justin Boulais Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 01/08 | Hugo Dellien ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 29/07 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Soonwoo Kwon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/08 | Keegan Smith Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 03/08 | Aidan Kim Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Gavin Young Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/07 | Edward Winter ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin Bonzi vs Soonwoo Kwon?
Our model gives 53% to Soonwoo Kwon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.