Tennis · W35 Erwitte · 20/08, 10:00
Prediction: Valentina Steiner vs Marie Vogt
Team pages: Valentina Steiner · Marie Vogt
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentina Steiner
Marie Vogt
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Valentina Steiner
5-5 (W-L)
Marie Vogt
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Valentina Steiner
1–0
Marie Vogt
(1 last)
- 27 Feb2-1 18-17W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentina Steiner 1531 · Marie Vogt 1566
| Valentina Steiner | Marie Vogt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Valentina Steiner 1–0 Marie Vogt (1).
Statistics
| Valentina Steiner | Marie Vogt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-10.6 | 12.1-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 51% | 53.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Valentina Steiner 1 – 0 Marie Vogt (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valentina Steiner 1–0 Marie Vogt
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/25 W15 Leimen | 2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentina Steiner
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Tina Manescu W35 Erwitte |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Sophie Greiner W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
| 07/08 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Julie Pastikova W75 Leipzig |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Gyeong Seo Lee W75 Leipzig |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/08 | Valeriya Strakhova W75 Leipzig |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 02/08 | Laura Boehner W75 Leipzig |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela W50 Darmstadt |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W50 Darmstadt |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Marie Vogt
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Polina Skliar W35 Erwitte |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/08 | Laima Vladson W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Berfu Cengiz W50 Hamburg |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/08 | Demi Tran W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Maja Michna W50 Hamburg |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W35 Gentofte |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/07 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W15 Krsko |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentina Steiner vs Marie Vogt?
Our model gives 52% to Marie Vogt, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.