Tennis · W35 Bistrita · 20/08, 10:30

Prediction: Mariia Drobysheva vs Adrienn Nagy

Team pages: Mariia Drobysheva · Adrienn Nagy

Prediction summary
Winner
32% 68%
Mariia Drobysheva Adrienn Nagy
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Mariia Drobysheva 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWLWWLLW
Adrienn Nagy 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWLWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mariia Drobysheva 1511 · Adrienn Nagy 1570
Mariia DrobyshevaAdrienn Nagy
Our model42%58%
Market23%77%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrienn Nagy (rating 1511 vs 1570).
  • Note: Adrienn Nagy makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Mariia DrobyshevaAdrienn Nagy
Win %50%70%
Win % · Clay 50% (4) 100% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.11.5-0.8
Games (G-P)9.8-912.7-10.1
Aces0.61.3
Double faults2.44.1
1st serve %55.9%62.7%
Break %58.3%54.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mariia Drobysheva

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Ilinca Sagmar
W35 Bistrita · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
18/08 Lavinia Luciano
W35 Bistrita · ~Clay
2-1 9-8 W
30/07 Lavinia Luciano
W15 Rogaska Slatina
1-2 10-13 L
29/07 Arabella Koller
W15 Rogaska Slatina
2-0 12-5 W
28/07 Melinda Biro
W15 Rogaska Slatina
2-0 12-2 W
20/07 Camilla Gennaro
W75 Cordenons
0-2 5-12 L
19/07 Laura Cilekova
W75 Cordenons
2-0 12-7 W
14/07 Federica Trevisan
W15 Krsko
1-2 12-12 L
23/06 Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
22/06 Alja Senica
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
1-2 7-11 L

Adrienn Nagy

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Juliana Singeorzan
W35 Bistrita · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
12/08 Radka Zelnickova
W35 Bydgoszcz
0-2 10-13 L
15/07 Anna Siskova
W75 Olomouc
0-2 8-13 L
14/07 Petra Sedlackova
W75 Olomouc
1-2 17-19 L
13/07 Agatha Chytilova
W75 Olomouc
2-0 12-2 W
05/07 Eszter Meri
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
2-1 14-12 W
04/07 Rebecca Munk Mortensen
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
03/07 Marie Mettraux
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
02/07 Anna Mihalka
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
01/07 Panna Bartha
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
2-1 15-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mariia Drobysheva vs Adrienn Nagy?

Our model gives 68% to Adrienn Nagy, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.