Tennis · W15 Logrono · 20/08, 10:00
Prediction: Daria Shubina vs Jenna Defalco
Team pages: Jenna Defalco
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Shubina
Jenna Defalco
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Shubina
6-4 (W-L)
Jenna Defalco
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Shubina 1538 · Jenna Defalco 1476
| Daria Shubina | Jenna Defalco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daria Shubina (rating 1538 vs 1476).
- Note: Daria Shubina makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Jenna Defalco makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Daria Shubina | Jenna Defalco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 0.9-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-9.7 | 10.1-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 57.4% |
| Break % | 66.3% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Shubina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Cayetana Gutierrez Imaz W15 Logrono |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Megan Heuser W15 Rogaska Slatina |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Mariya Dobreva W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Hana Shabanpour W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Mandegar Farzami W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Mariya Dobreva W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Irmak Ozturk W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/05 | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Yuhan Chen W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Eva Marie Desvignes ITF W15 Tashkent |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Jenna Defalco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Wozuko Mdlulwa W15 Logrono |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Angelina Voloshchuk W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Dalayna Hewitt W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Anna Rogers W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 20/07 | Mireya David W100 Evansville |
1-0 | 6-0 | W |
| 29/04 | Dayeon Back W35 Goyang · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/04 | Jia-Jing Lu W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 22/04 | Shiho Tsujioka W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/04 | Hayu Kinoshita W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Shubina vs Jenna Defalco?
Our model gives 64% to Jenna Defalco, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.