Tennis · W15 Logrono · 20/08, 10:00
Prediction: Paula Cembranos vs Zi Ying Ruan
Team pages: Paula Cembranos · Zi Ying Ruan
Prediction summary
Winner
Paula Cembranos
Zi Ying Ruan
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Paula Cembranos
6-4 (W-L)
Zi Ying Ruan
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paula Cembranos 1552 · Zi Ying Ruan 1489
| Paula Cembranos | Zi Ying Ruan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paula Cembranos (rating 1552 vs 1489).
- Paula Cembranos is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Paula Cembranos makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Paula Cembranos | Zi Ying Ruan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.2 | 9.4-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 6.6 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 57.4% | 54.6% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 52.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paula Cembranos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Iveta Dapkute W15 Logrono |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 07/08 | Ella Mcdonald W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Lina Glushko W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Mio Mushika W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Mia Wainwright W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Lois Newberry W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Julia Stusek W75 Hechingen |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Chelsea Fontenel W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 27/07 | Julia Stamatova W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Anastasiia Firman W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Zi Ying Ruan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Olga Bienzobas Fernandez Sancho W15 Logrono |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Beatrice Stagno W15 Savitaipale |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Ema Kovacevic W15 Savitaipale |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Iben Mol W15 Savitaipale |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Anna Petkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Anastasia Mozgaleva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Ksenia Zaytseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/04 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Anna Kmiecik W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 18/12 | Yasmin Ezzat W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paula Cembranos vs Zi Ying Ruan?
Our model gives 69% to Paula Cembranos, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.