Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 20/08, 12:00
Prediction: Lui Maxted vs Gabi Adrian Boitan
Team pages: Lui Maxted · Gabi Adrian Boitan
Prediction summary
Winner
Lui Maxted
Gabi Adrian Boitan
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Lui Maxted
5-5 (W-L)
Gabi Adrian Boitan
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lui Maxted 1560 · Gabi Adrian Boitan 1507
| Lui Maxted | Gabi Adrian Boitan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lui Maxted (rating 1560 vs 1507).
- Note: Gabi Adrian Boitan makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Lui Maxted | Gabi Adrian Boitan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.2-12.3 | 13-12.7 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 43% | 36.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lui Maxted
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Patrick Brady Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/08 | Charles Broom M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Mark Ceban M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Marcus Walters M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Rhys Lawlor M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 29/07 | Billy Blaydes M25 Aldershot |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 24/07 | Clement Lemire M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Louis Larue M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/07 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Gabi Adrian Boitan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Alastair Gray Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/08 | Christian Langmo Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/07 | Gabriel Debru Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Semen Aginskiy M15 Slobozia |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Vlad Cristian Breazu M15 Slobozia |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 21/06 | Dan Alexandru Tomescu M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Cezar Gabriel Papoe M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/06 | Radu David Turcanu M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lui Maxted vs Gabi Adrian Boitan?
Our model gives 58% to Lui Maxted, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.