Tennis · W50 Prague · 20/08, 10:00
Prediction: Lucie Havlickova vs Xinyu Gao
Team pages: Lucie Havlickova · Xinyu Gao
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucie Havlickova
Xinyu Gao
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lucie Havlickova
5-5 (W-L)
Xinyu Gao
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lucie Havlickova
0–1
Xinyu Gao
(1 last)
- 26 Aug1-2 12-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucie Havlickova 1491 · Xinyu Gao 1521
| Lucie Havlickova | Xinyu Gao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lucie Havlickova 0–1 Xinyu Gao (1).
- Note: Lucie Havlickova makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Lucie Havlickova | Xinyu Gao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.7 | 10.6-9.8 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 6.9 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 53% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Lucie Havlickova 0 – 1 Xinyu Gao (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucie Havlickova 0–1 Xinyu Gao
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/22 ITF W25 Roehampton | 1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucie Havlickova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Prague |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/08 | Victoria Bervid W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Alycia Parks WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Harmony Tan WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Nao Hibino W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Maria Garcia W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/06 | Maria Lourdes Carle Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 12/06 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Xinyu Gao
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Mayuka Aikawa W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 18/08 | Julia Adams W50 Prague |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Britt Du Pree W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Maria Toma W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 18/07 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Corroios-Seixal |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucie Havlickova vs Xinyu Gao?
Our model gives 50% to Lucie Havlickova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.