Tennis · W15 Tianjin · 20/08, 04:00
Prediction: Natsuki Yoshimoto vs Eva Marie Desvignes
Team pages: Natsuki Yoshimoto · Eva Marie Desvignes
Prediction summary
Winner
Natsuki Yoshimoto
Eva Marie Desvignes
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Natsuki Yoshimoto
6-4 (W-L)
Eva Marie Desvignes
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natsuki Yoshimoto 1525 · Eva Marie Desvignes 1538
| Natsuki Yoshimoto | Eva Marie Desvignes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Natsuki Yoshimoto | Eva Marie Desvignes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.9 | 10.8-8.7 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 55.6% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natsuki Yoshimoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Eunyeong Park W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/08 | Yushan Shao W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Lily Taylor W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Destanee Aiava W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/07 | I Wen Wan W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/07 | Mana Kawamura W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/07 | Belle Thompson W15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Lily Taylor W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Himari Sato W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Eva Marie Desvignes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Yanan Hou W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Yui Chikaraishi W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/08 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Cheuk Ying Shek W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 12/08 | Maria Kalyakina W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Marianna Shikhanova W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Yu Jun Lin W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Anastasia Efremova W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Junhan Zhang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 01/07 | Meiqi Guo W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natsuki Yoshimoto vs Eva Marie Desvignes?
Our model gives 64% to Natsuki Yoshimoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.